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Why Diesel Is Climbing Fast—and What the Iran Conflict Has to Do With It

With global oil flows disrupted, U.S. diesel prices have topped $5 across every region, climbing sharply in the past few weeks.

Deborah Lockridge
Deborah LockridgeEditor and Associate Publisher
Read Deborah's Posts
March 24, 2026
Illustration with oil wells, dollar bills, and a diesel fuel pump

The war in Iran has caused one of the biggest disruptions to energy supplies in history, and U.S. diesel fuel prices are reflecting it.


Credit:

HDT Graphic

2 min to read


The average price of a gallon of diesel fuel across the U.S. hit $5.375 as of March 23, according to Energy Department figures, as the Iran war continues to affect crude oil prices. That’s nearly $1.81 higher than a year ago and 30.4 cents higher than the previous week.

Average prices were over $5 in every region the Energy Information Administration tracks, and $6.87 in California.

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The lowest average price was found in the Gulf Coast region, as is typical, at $5.134 per gallon.

In the past month, the average price of diesel has shot up by nearly $1.57, up from $3.809 as reported on February 23.

On-highway diesel fuel started the year at an average of $3.477 per gallon. It had been creeping up slowly until the Trump administration and Israel struck Iran at the end of February.

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Why Are Diesel Prices so High?

On February 28, the United States and Israel attacked Iran after weeks of military buildup and threats from President Trump, as the nonpartisan think tank Council on Foreign Relations explains.

Iran effectively blocked the crucial Strait of Hormuz, through which flows about one-fifth (20–25%) of the world's daily oil consumption. 

Crude oil prices, traded on the futures market, have been volatile since the strikes, thanks to conflicting reports nearly daily of the status of the war.

Crude oil makes up about 41% of the price of a gallon of diesel as of January figures.

Graph of on-highway diesel fuel prices as of March 23

In the past month, the average price of diesel has shot up by nearly $1.57, up from $3.809 as reported on February 23.

Source:

Energy Information Administration

As Reuters reports, the war has caused one of the biggest disruptions to energy supplies in history.

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Not only has Iran essentially closed the key Strait of Hormuz shipping route, through which a great deal of the global crude oil supply flows, but also, attacks in the Middle East have damaged production infrastructure in several countries.

The BBC reported that the head of the International Energy warned the war could see the world facing its worst energy crisis in decades.

But Isn’t the U.S. Energy Independent?

Even though the U.S. produces plenty of oil, it’s not shielded from global price swings. Oil is priced on a worldwide market, so when something disrupts supply anywhere, it shows up in U.S. fuel costs.

On top of that, the type of oil produced keeps the U.S. from being self-sufficient.

We export light, sweet crude oil while importing the heavier grades that many U.S. refineries are configured to run. So even as a net exporter, the U.S. is still buying and selling oil at global prices, which keeps diesel and fuel costs tied to global developments.

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